The model estimates 1.24 goals for De Graafschap and 2.46 for Heracles. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for De Graafschap and 6 for Heracles, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Heracles · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
De Graafschap is going head to head with Heracles on December 18, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 20.
De Graafschap take on Heracles in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 18 December 2026 at 22:00.
De Graafschap are currently placed 16th in the table with 12 points, while Heracles occupy 1st position with 29 points.
De Graafschap come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Heracles have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 25 recorded meetings, Heracles have 14 wins against De Graafschap, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Heracles to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.69. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 66%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Heracles have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Heracles have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Heracles score an average of 2.17 goals per game across their last 6 matches.