The model estimates 1.65 goals for Jong PSV and 1.24 for De Graafschap. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Jong PSV and 6 for De Graafschap, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Jong PSV · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Jong PSV is going head to head with De Graafschap on December 07, 2026 at 22:00. This match is part of Netherlands Erstedivision — Round 18.
Jong PSV take on De Graafschap in the Netherlands Erstedivision on 7 December 2026 at 22:00.
Jong PSV are currently placed 12th in the table with 16 points, while De Graafschap occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Jong PSV come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas De Graafschap have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 22 recorded meetings, De Graafschap have 16 wins against Jong PSV, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Jong PSV to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.89. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 59%.




Jong PSV have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Jong PSV's last 6 matches.
Jong PSV concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of De Graafschap's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, De Graafschap have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
De Graafschap have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.