The model estimates 1.72 goals for Real Avilés and 0.84 for Ponferradina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Real Avilés and 6 for Ponferradina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Avilés · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Real Avilés is going head to head with Ponferradina on May 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Spain Primera Division Rfef — Round 38.
Real Avilés take on Ponferradina in the Spain Primera Division Rfef on 23 May 2027 at 00:00.
Real Avilés are currently placed 10th in the table with 17 points, while Ponferradina occupy 21st position with 15 points.
Real Avilés come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponferradina have 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Real Avilés have 1 win against Ponferradina.
Prediction: Real Avilés to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.56. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 48%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Avilés's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Avilés have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Real Avilés have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 6 of Ponferradina's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ponferradina have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Ponferradina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.