The model estimates 2.08 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 2.18 for Real Sociedad. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Real Sociedad, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Real Sociedad on April 11, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 31.
Rayo Vallecano take on Real Sociedad in the LaLiga on 11 April 2027 at 00:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Real Sociedad occupy 5th position with 19 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Sociedad have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 53 recorded meetings, Real Sociedad have 20 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 16 draws.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.27. Over 2.5: 80%. BTTS: 78%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Real Sociedad's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Sociedad have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Sociedad have won 5 of their last 6 matches.