The model estimates 1.85 goals for Alaves and 1.19 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Alaves and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Alaves · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Alaves is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on April 18, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 32.
Alaves take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 18 April 2027 at 00:00.
Alaves are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Alaves come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins against Alaves, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Alaves to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 60%.




Alaves have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Alaves have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Alaves's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.