The model estimates 1.48 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.77 for Villarreal. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Villarreal, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Villarreal on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 34.
Rayo Vallecano take on Villarreal in the LaLiga on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Villarreal occupy 10th position with 12 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Villarreal have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 32 recorded meetings, Villarreal have 18 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Villarreal to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.25. Over 2.5: 63%. BTTS: 65%.
RAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILRAYVILBoth teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Villarreal have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Villarreal's last 6 matches.
