The model estimates 1.55 goals for Valencia and 1.21 for Rayo Vallecano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Valencia and 6 for Rayo Vallecano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Valencia · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Valencia is going head to head with Rayo Vallecano on April 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 33.
Valencia take on Rayo Vallecano in the LaLiga on 21 April 2027 at 00:00.
Valencia are currently placed 19th in the table with 6 points, while Rayo Vallecano occupy 15th position with 9 points.
Valencia come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rayo Vallecano have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 49 recorded meetings, Valencia have 24 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Valencia to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.75. Over 2.5: 52%. BTTS: 57%.




Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Valencia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Valencia have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.