The model estimates 2.08 goals for Purmersteijn and 1.31 for USV Hercules. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Purmersteijn and 6 for USV Hercules, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Purmersteijn · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Purmersteijn is going head to head with USV Hercules on November 22, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 14.
Purmersteijn take on USV Hercules in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 22 November 2026 at 16:00.
Purmersteijn are currently placed 14th in the table with 18 points, while USV Hercules occupy 22nd position with 13 points.
Purmersteijn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas USV Hercules have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.39. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 65%.




In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, USV Hercules have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
USV Hercules have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
USV Hercules score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.