The model estimates 1.30 goals for USV Hercules and 1.82 for Excelsior '31. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for USV Hercules and 6 for Excelsior '31, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 54%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
USV Hercules is going head to head with Excelsior '31 on December 12, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 17.
USV Hercules take on Excelsior '31 in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 12 December 2026 at 17:30.
USV Hercules are currently placed 22nd in the table with 13 points, while Excelsior '31 occupy 8th position with 22 points.
USV Hercules come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior '31 have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, USV Hercules have 1 win against Excelsior '31, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Excelsior '31 to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 62%.
USVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCUSVEXCIn their last 6 matches, USV Hercules have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
USV Hercules have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
USV Hercules score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior '31 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Excelsior '31 have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
