The model estimates 2.56 goals for Purmersteijn and 1.31 for Staphorst. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Purmersteijn and 6 for Staphorst, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Purmersteijn · 58%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Purmersteijn is going head to head with Staphorst on December 05, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 16.
Purmersteijn take on Staphorst in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 5 December 2026 at 17:00.
Purmersteijn are currently placed 14th in the table with 18 points, while Staphorst occupy 29th position with 9 points.
Purmersteijn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Staphorst have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 59%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.87. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 68%.




In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.