The model estimates 1.98 goals for Purmersteijn and 1.23 for Sportlust. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Purmersteijn and 6 for Sportlust, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Purmersteijn · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Purmersteijn is going head to head with Sportlust on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 19.
Purmersteijn take on Sportlust in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Purmersteijn are currently placed 14th in the table with 18 points, while Sportlust occupy 12th position with 19 points.
Purmersteijn come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sportlust have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Sportlust have 1 win against Purmersteijn, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Purmersteijn to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 62%.




In their last 6 matches, Purmersteijn have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Purmersteijn's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sportlust have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Sportlust's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sportlust's last 6 away matches.