The model estimates 2.58 goals for Excelsior '31 and 1.17 for Staphorst. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Excelsior '31 and 6 for Staphorst, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Excelsior '31 · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Excelsior '31 is going head to head with Staphorst on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 19.
Excelsior '31 take on Staphorst in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Excelsior '31 are currently placed 8th in the table with 22 points, while Staphorst occupy 29th position with 9 points.
Excelsior '31 come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Staphorst have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 8 recorded meetings, Excelsior '31 have 5 wins against Staphorst, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Excelsior '31 to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.74. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 64%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior '31's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior '31 have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Excelsior '31 have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.