The model estimates 1.88 goals for Staphorst and 2.13 for Hoogeveen. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Staphorst and 6 for Hoogeveen, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Hoogeveen · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Staphorst is going head to head with Hoogeveen on December 12, 2026 at 16:30. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 17.
Staphorst take on Hoogeveen in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 12 December 2026 at 16:30.
Staphorst are currently placed 29th in the table with 9 points, while Hoogeveen occupy 19th position with 13 points.
Staphorst come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Hoogeveen have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 5 recorded meetings, Staphorst have 3 wins against Hoogeveen.
Prediction: Hoogeveen to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.01. Over 2.5: 76%. BTTS: 76%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Staphorst's last 6 matches.
Staphorst have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hoogeveen have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Hoogeveen have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Hoogeveen's last 6 matches.