The model estimates 1.92 goals for PSV and 1.70 for Ajax. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSV and 6 for Ajax, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSV · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSV is going head to head with Ajax on April 25, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 30.
PSV take on Ajax in the Eredivisie on 25 April 2027 at 00:00.
PSV are currently placed 4th in the table with 20 points, while Ajax occupy 3rd position with 21 points.
PSV come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ajax have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, PSV have 1 win against Ajax.
Prediction: PSV to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.62. Over 2.5: 70%. BTTS: 71%.




PSV have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 matches.
PSV are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.