The model estimates 2.17 goals for Ajax and 1.30 for Sittard. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ajax and 6 for Sittard, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Ajax · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ajax is going head to head with Sittard on May 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 31.
Ajax take on Sittard in the Eredivisie on 2 May 2027 at 00:00.
Ajax are currently placed 3rd in the table with 21 points, while Sittard occupy 6th position with 18 points.
Ajax come into this match with 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sittard have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Ajax have 1 win against Sittard.
Prediction: Ajax to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.47. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 66%.




Ajax are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Ajax have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Ajax's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sittard have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Sittard's last 6 matches.
Sittard score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.