The model estimates 2.73 goals for PSV and 1.06 for Excelsior. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSV and 6 for Excelsior, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSV · 63%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSV is going head to head with Excelsior on May 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Eredivisie — Round 32.
PSV take on Excelsior in the Eredivisie on 9 May 2027 at 00:00.
PSV are currently placed 4th in the table with 20 points, while Excelsior occupy 12th position with 10 points.
PSV come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, PSV have 1 win against Excelsior.
Prediction: PSV to win with probability 64%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.79. Over 2.5: 73%. BTTS: 62%.




PSV have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of PSV's last 6 matches.
PSV are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Excelsior have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Excelsior's last 6 matches.
Excelsior have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.