The model estimates 1.20 goals for Portel and 1.46 for Serpa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Portel and 6 for Serpa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Serpa · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Portel is going head to head with Serpa on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 20.
Portel take on Serpa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Portel are currently placed 42nd in the table with 5 points, while Serpa occupy 21st position with 8 points.
Portel come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Serpa have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Serpa have 1 win against Portel.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.65. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 55%.
SERSERSERSERSERSERSERSERSERPortel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
