The model estimates 1.86 goals for Vitória Setúbal and 1.18 for Portel. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Vitória Setúbal and 6 for Portel, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Vitória Setúbal · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Vitória Setúbal is going head to head with Portel on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
Vitória Setúbal take on Portel in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Vitória Setúbal are currently placed 43rd in the table with 5 points, while Portel occupy 42nd position with 5 points.
Vitória Setúbal come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Portel have 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Vitória Setúbal to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.04. Over 2.5: 59%. BTTS: 60%.


Vitória Setúbal have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Vitória Setúbal's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Vitória Setúbal's last 6 matches.
Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.