The model estimates 1.94 goals for Serpa and 0.74 for Aljustrelense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Serpa and 6 for Aljustrelense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Serpa · 65%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Serpa is going head to head with Aljustrelense on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 21.
Serpa take on Aljustrelense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Serpa are currently placed 21st in the table with 8 points, while Aljustrelense occupy 50th position with 3 points.
Serpa come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aljustrelense have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Serpa to win with probability 58%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.68. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 46%.




In their last 6 matches, Serpa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Serpa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Serpa's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aljustrelense's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.