The model estimates 1.45 goals for Portel and 2.02 for Lajense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Portel and 6 for Lajense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lajense · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Portel is going head to head with Lajense on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 22.
Portel take on Lajense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Portel are currently placed 42nd in the table with 5 points, while Lajense occupy 29th position with 7 points.
Portel come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lajense have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lajense to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.47. Over 2.5: 67%. BTTS: 68%.


Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lajense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lajense's last 6 matches.
Lajense score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.