The model estimates 2.52 goals for Lajense and 0.90 for Aljustrelense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lajense and 6 for Aljustrelense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lajense · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lajense is going head to head with Aljustrelense on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
Lajense take on Aljustrelense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lajense are currently placed 29th in the table with 7 points, while Aljustrelense occupy 50th position with 3 points.
Lajense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aljustrelense have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lajense to win with probability 63%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.43. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 56%.




In their last 6 matches, Lajense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lajense's last 6 matches.
Lajense score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Aljustrelense's last 6 matches.
Aljustrelense have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.