The model estimates 1.30 goals for Portel and 1.36 for Lagoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Portel and 6 for Lagoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lagoa · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Portel is going head to head with Lagoa on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 26.
Portel take on Lagoa in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Portel are currently placed 42nd in the table with 5 points, while Lagoa occupy 34th position with 6 points.
Portel come into this match with 0 wins, 5 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lagoa have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lagoa to win with probability 35%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 56%.


Portel have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Portel have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Portel's last 6 matches.
Lagoa have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Lagoa's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lagoa have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.