The model estimates 0.85 goals for Parma and 1.23 for Fiorentina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Parma and 6 for Fiorentina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fiorentina · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Parma is going head to head with Fiorentina on December 13, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 15.
Parma take on Fiorentina in the Serie A on 13 December 2026 at 20:30.
Parma are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while Fiorentina occupy 19th position with 4 points.
Parma come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 63 recorded meetings, Parma have 18 wins against Fiorentina, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.08. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 42%.
PARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOPARFIOParma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
