The model estimates 1.31 goals for Lecce and 0.77 for Parma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Parma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Parma on January 06, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 18.
Lecce take on Parma in the Serie A on 6 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lecce are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Parma occupy 19th position with 4 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 35 recorded meetings, Parma have 17 wins against Lecce, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Lecce to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 41%.
LECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARLECPARThere have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Parma's last 6 matches.
