The model estimates 1.11 goals for Fiorentina and 2.03 for Lazio. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for Lazio, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lazio · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with Lazio on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 17.
Fiorentina take on Lazio in the Serie A on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fiorentina are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while Lazio occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lazio have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 163 recorded meetings, Lazio have 65 wins against Fiorentina, with 45 draws.
Prediction: Lazio to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.14. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 60%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Lazio are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lazio have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Lazio have won 5 of their last 6 matches.