The model estimates 1.45 goals for Sassuolo and 0.93 for Parma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sassuolo and 6 for Parma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sassuolo · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sassuolo is going head to head with Parma on December 20, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 16.
Sassuolo take on Parma in the Serie A on 20 December 2026 at 20:30.
Sassuolo are currently placed 15th in the table with 8 points, while Parma occupy 19th position with 5 points.
Sassuolo come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 14 recorded meetings, Parma have 6 wins against Sassuolo, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Sassuolo to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.38. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




Sassuolo have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Sassuolo's last 6 matches.
Sassuolo have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.