The model estimates 0.90 goals for Pafos and 0.99 for AEK Larnaca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Pafos and 6 for AEK Larnaca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pafos · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Pafos is going head to head with AEK Larnaca on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 16.
Pafos take on AEK Larnaca in the Cypriot First Division on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Pafos are currently placed 5th in the table with 12 points, while AEK Larnaca occupy 1st position with 16 points.
Pafos come into this match with 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas AEK Larnaca have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, AEK Larnaca have 23 wins against Pafos, with 15 draws.
Prediction: Pafos and AEK Larnaca to draw with probability 33%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.89. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 39%.




In their last 6 matches, Pafos have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.