The model estimates 0.80 goals for AEL Limassol and 1.53 for Pafos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEL Limassol and 6 for Pafos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pafos · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEL Limassol is going head to head with Pafos on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 17.
AEL Limassol take on Pafos in the Cypriot First Division on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
AEL Limassol are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Pafos occupy 5th position with 12 points.
AEL Limassol come into this match with 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pafos have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, AEL Limassol have 25 wins against Pafos, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Pafos to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.33. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 45%.




In their last 6 matches, AEL Limassol have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
AEL Limassol have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of AEL Limassol's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pafos have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.