The model estimates 1.09 goals for APOEL and 1.15 for Pafos. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for APOEL and 6 for Pafos, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Pafos · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
APOEL is going head to head with Pafos on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 19.
APOEL take on Pafos in the Cypriot First Division on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
APOEL are currently placed 7th in the table with 11 points, while Pafos occupy 5th position with 12 points.
APOEL come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Pafos have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 57 recorded meetings, APOEL have 30 wins against Pafos, with 15 draws.
Prediction: APOEL and Pafos to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.24. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, APOEL have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of APOEL's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of APOEL's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Pafos have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Pafos's last 6 matches.
Pafos have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.