The model estimates 1.77 goals for AEK Larnaca and 0.79 for Aris. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for AEK Larnaca and 6 for Aris, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: AEK Larnaca · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
AEK Larnaca is going head to head with Aris on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Cypriot First Division — Round 19.
AEK Larnaca take on Aris in the Cypriot First Division on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
AEK Larnaca are currently placed 1st in the table with 16 points, while Aris occupy 6th position with 12 points.
AEK Larnaca come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Aris have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, AEK Larnaca have yet to beat Aris, with 1 draw.
Prediction: AEK Larnaca to win with probability 55%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.57. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 47%.




In their last 6 matches, AEK Larnaca have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
AEK Larnaca have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of AEK Larnaca's last 6 matches.
Aris are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Aris have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Aris's last 6 matches.