The model estimates 0.99 goals for Covilha and 0.94 for Louletano. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Covilha and 6 for Louletano, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Covilha · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Covilha is going head to head with Louletano on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Liga 3 — Round 18.
Covilha take on Louletano in the Liga 3 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Covilha are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Louletano occupy 15th position with 8 points.
Covilha come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Louletano have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Covilha and Louletano to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.93. Over 2.5: 30%. BTTS: 40%.
COVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCOVLOUCovilha have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Covilha's last 6 matches.
Covilha have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 matches.
Louletano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Louletano's last 6 matches.
