The model estimates 0.99 goals for Northampton Town and 0.75 for Fleetwood Town. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Northampton Town and 6 for Fleetwood Town, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Northampton Town · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Northampton Town is going head to head with Fleetwood Town on December 01, 2026 at 19:45. This match is part of League Two — Round 18.
Northampton Town take on Fleetwood Town in the League Two on 1 December 2026 at 19:45.
Northampton Town are currently placed 21st in the table with 14 points, while Fleetwood Town occupy 15th position with 17 points.
Northampton Town come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fleetwood Town have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 13 recorded meetings, Fleetwood Town have 6 wins against Northampton Town, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Northampton Town to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.73. Over 2.5: 25%. BTTS: 35%.




Northampton Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Northampton Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Fleetwood Town's last 6 matches.
Fleetwood Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fleetwood Town's last 6 matches.