The model estimates 0.61 goals for Northampton Town and 0.58 for Exeter City. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Northampton Town and 6 for Exeter City, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Northampton Town is going head to head with Exeter City on December 19, 2026 at 12:30. This match is part of League Two — Round 20.
Northampton Town take on Exeter City in the League Two on 19 December 2026 at 12:30.
Northampton Town are currently placed 19th in the table with 13 points, while Exeter City occupy 8th position with 19 points.
Northampton Town come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Exeter City have 4 wins, 2 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Northampton Town have 19 wins against Exeter City, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Northampton Town and Exeter City to draw with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.19. Over 2.5: 12%. BTTS: 22%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
Northampton Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Exeter City are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Exeter City have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Exeter City have won 4 of their last 6 matches.