The model estimates 2.24 goals for Northampton Town and 2.35 for Gillingham. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Northampton Town and 6 for Gillingham, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Northampton Town · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Northampton Town is going head to head with Gillingham on November 10, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of England Efl Trophy.
Northampton Town take on Gillingham in the England Efl Trophy on 10 November 2026 at 19:00.
Northampton Town come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Gillingham have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Northampton Town have 12 wins against Gillingham, with 7 draws.
Prediction: Northampton Town to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.59. Over 2.5: 84%. BTTS: 81%.




There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
Northampton Town have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Gillingham's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Gillingham have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Gillingham have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.