The model estimates 1.14 goals for Northampton Town and 0.73 for Crewe Alexandra. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Northampton Town and 6 for Crewe Alexandra, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Northampton Town · 44%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Northampton Town is going head to head with Crewe Alexandra on March 13, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 35.
Northampton Town take on Crewe Alexandra in the League Two on 13 March 2027 at 00:00.
Northampton Town are currently placed 21st in the table with 14 points, while Crewe Alexandra occupy 4th position with 22 points.
Northampton Town come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Crewe Alexandra have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Northampton Town have 7 wins against Crewe Alexandra, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Northampton Town to win with probability 44%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 37%.




Northampton Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Northampton Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
Crewe Alexandra have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Crewe Alexandra's last 6 matches.
Crewe Alexandra concede an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.