The model estimates 1.15 goals for Northampton Town and 0.93 for Chesterfield. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Northampton Town and 6 for Chesterfield, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Northampton Town · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Northampton Town is going head to head with Chesterfield on March 29, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of League Two — Round 38.
Northampton Town take on Chesterfield in the League Two on 29 March 2027 at 00:00.
Northampton Town are currently placed 21st in the table with 14 points, while Chesterfield occupy 10th position with 19 points.
Northampton Town come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chesterfield have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Chesterfield have 11 wins against Northampton Town, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Northampton Town to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.07. Over 2.5: 34%. BTTS: 43%.




Northampton Town have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Northampton Town have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Northampton Town's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chesterfield's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chesterfield have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chesterfield have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.