The model estimates 1.30 goals for Noordwijk and 1.04 for Excelsior Maassluis. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Noordwijk and 6 for Excelsior Maassluis, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Noordwijk · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Noordwijk is going head to head with Excelsior Maassluis on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Netherlands Derde Divisie — Round 21.
Noordwijk take on Excelsior Maassluis in the Netherlands Derde Divisie on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Noordwijk are currently placed 1st in the table with 28 points, while Excelsior Maassluis occupy 3rd position with 26 points.
Noordwijk come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Excelsior Maassluis have 6 wins, 0 draws and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, Excelsior Maassluis have 4 wins against Noordwijk, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Noordwijk to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.34. Over 2.5: 41%. BTTS: 49%.




In their last 6 matches, Noordwijk have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Noordwijk have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Noordwijk's last 6 matches.
Excelsior Maassluis are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Excelsior Maassluis have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Excelsior Maassluis have won 6 of their last 6 matches.