The model estimates 1.94 goals for Nogueirense and 1.55 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nogueirense and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Nogueirense · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nogueirense is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Nogueirense take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Nogueirense are currently placed 33rd in the table with 9 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 29th position with 10 points.
Nogueirense come into this match with 1 win, 4 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, SB Castelo Branco have 5 wins against Nogueirense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Nogueirense to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.49. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 69%.




In their last 6 matches, Nogueirense have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Nogueirense have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nogueirense concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.