The model estimates 1.79 goals for Napoli and 0.57 for Parma. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Napoli and 6 for Parma, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Napoli is going head to head with Parma on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 27.
Napoli take on Parma in the Serie A on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Napoli are currently placed 7th in the table with 14 points, while Parma occupy 18th position with 5 points.
Napoli come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Parma have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 47 recorded meetings, Napoli have 19 wins against Parma, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 37%.




In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Napoli's last 6 home matches.
Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.