The model estimates 0.79 goals for Cagliari and 1.69 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Cagliari and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 38%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Cagliari is going head to head with Napoli on April 04, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 30.
Cagliari take on Napoli in the Serie A on 4 April 2027 at 00:00.
Cagliari are currently placed 6th in the table with 15 points, while Napoli occupy 7th position with 14 points.
Cagliari come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 86 recorded meetings, Napoli have 39 wins against Cagliari, with 33 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 46%.




Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Cagliari's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Napoli have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches.