The model estimates 0.93 goals for Parma and 1.10 for Lecce. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Parma and 6 for Lecce, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Parma is going head to head with Lecce on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 28.
Parma take on Lecce in the Serie A on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Parma are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while Lecce occupy 14th position with 9 points.
Parma come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lecce have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 35 recorded meetings, Parma have 17 wins against Lecce, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Lecce to win with probability 38%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.03. Over 2.5: 33%. BTTS: 42%.




Parma have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Parma's last 6 matches.
Parma have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.