The model estimates 1.10 goals for Bologna and 1.45 for Napoli. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Bologna and 6 for Napoli, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Napoli · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Bologna is going head to head with Napoli on March 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie A — Round 28.
Bologna take on Napoli in the Serie A on 14 March 2027 at 00:00.
Bologna are currently placed 11th in the table with 11 points, while Napoli occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Bologna come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Napoli have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 142 recorded meetings, Napoli have 55 wins against Bologna, with 40 draws.
Prediction: Napoli to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.55. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 53%.




In their last 6 matches, Bologna have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Bologna's last 6 matches.
Bologna score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Napoli have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Napoli score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Napoli have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 away matches.