The model estimates 1.28 goals for Muang Thong Utd and 1.06 for Nakhon Pathom. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Muang Thong Utd and 6 for Nakhon Pathom, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Muang Thong Utd · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Muang Thong Utd is going head to head with Nakhon Pathom on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Thai League 2 — Round 21.
Muang Thong Utd take on Nakhon Pathom in the Thai League 2 on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Muang Thong Utd are currently placed 9th in the table with 14 points, while Nakhon Pathom occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Muang Thong Utd come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nakhon Pathom have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Nakhon Pathom have 1 win against Muang Thong Utd.
Prediction: Muang Thong Utd to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.35. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.




Muang Thong Utd have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Muang Thong Utd have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Muang Thong Utd's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nakhon Pathom have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Nakhon Pathom score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Nakhon Pathom concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.