The model estimates 1.93 goals for Monza and 1.79 for Fiorentina. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Saved model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Fiorentina, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Monza · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Fiorentina on November 22, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 12.
Monza take on Fiorentina in the Serie A on 22 November 2026 at 17:30.
Monza are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Fiorentina occupy 19th position with 4 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fiorentina have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Fiorentina have 3 wins against Monza, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Monza to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.72. Over 2.5: 72%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.