The model estimates 1.29 goals for Monza and 2.21 for Como. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Como, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Como · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Como on December 06, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 14.
Monza take on Como in the Serie A on 6 December 2026 at 20:30.
Monza are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Como occupy 5th position with 17 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Como have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Como to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.49. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 66%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Como have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Como have won by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Como score an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.