The model estimates 1.34 goals for Fiorentina and 1.07 for Cagliari. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fiorentina and 6 for Cagliari, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fiorentina · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fiorentina is going head to head with Cagliari on December 06, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 14.
Fiorentina take on Cagliari in the Serie A on 6 December 2026 at 20:30.
Fiorentina are currently placed 18th in the table with 5 points, while Cagliari occupy 7th position with 15 points.
Fiorentina come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cagliari have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 91 recorded meetings, Fiorentina have 39 wins against Cagliari, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Fiorentina to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 50%.




Both teams have scored in 6 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Fiorentina have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Fiorentina's last 6 matches.
Cagliari have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Cagliari concede an average of 1.83 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Cagliari have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.