The model estimates 1.84 goals for Monza and 2.36 for Atalanta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Monza and 6 for Atalanta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 46%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Monza is going head to head with Atalanta on November 08, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 11.
Monza take on Atalanta in the Serie A on 8 November 2026 at 17:30.
Monza are currently placed 16th in the table with 7 points, while Atalanta occupy 12th position with 10 points.
Monza come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 10 recorded meetings, Atalanta have 9 wins against Monza.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 4.20. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 77%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Monza's last 6 matches.
Monza have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.