The model estimates 1.19 goals for Lecce and 1.50 for Atalanta. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Atalanta, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atalanta · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Atalanta on November 29, 2026 at 20:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 13.
Lecce take on Atalanta in the Serie A on 29 November 2026 at 20:30.
Lecce are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Atalanta occupy 11th position with 9 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atalanta have 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 38 recorded meetings, Atalanta have 19 wins against Lecce, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Atalanta to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 56%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Lecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Atalanta have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atalanta have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Atalanta's last 6 matches.