The model estimates 1.56 goals for Melbourne City and 1.53 for Wellington Phoenix. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 3 completed matches for Melbourne City and 6 for Wellington Phoenix, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Melbourne City · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Melbourne City is going head to head with Wellington Phoenix on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of A-League Men.
Melbourne City take on Wellington Phoenix in the A-League Men on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Melbourne City are currently placed 7th in the table with 4 points, while Wellington Phoenix occupy 1st position with 9 points.
Melbourne City come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 3 completed matches, whereas Wellington Phoenix have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Melbourne City to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.09. Over 2.5: 60%. BTTS: 63%.




In their last 6 matches, Wellington Phoenix have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Wellington Phoenix's last 6 matches.
Wellington Phoenix have won 4 of their last 6 matches.