The model estimates 1.30 goals for Mbeya City and 0.90 for Fountain Gate. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mbeya City and 6 for Fountain Gate, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mbeya City · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mbeya City is going head to head with Fountain Gate on February 26, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligi Kuu Bara — Round 23.
Mbeya City take on Fountain Gate in the Ligi Kuu Bara on 26 February 2027 at 00:00.
Mbeya City are currently placed 11th in the table with 10 points, while Fountain Gate occupy 16th position with 6 points.
Mbeya City come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Fountain Gate have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mbeya City have 1 win against Fountain Gate.
Prediction: Mbeya City to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.20. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 45%.




Mbeya City have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Mbeya City have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Fountain Gate have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Fountain Gate's last 6 matches.